Viktor Orban’s defiance: Will the EU hold together amid growing dissent?

Dr. Imran Khalid
Credit: rferl.org

As the EU leaders convene in Brussels to address a range of pressing matters such as backing for Ukraine and the potential inclusion of Moldova, Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orbanon will certainly steal the spotlight. Orban, considered to be a kind of ‘outlier’ or ‘misfit’, is expected to instigate new controversies at the summit. His recent behavior leading up to this summit indicates that he is gearing up for another clash with his peers. It will be a big challenge for the summit to display the EU’s ability to remain cohesive in the face of growing internal dissent – from Ukraine to the Gaza war. Orban, ever the disruptor, will undoubtedly shake things up and test the resolve of other EU leaders as they strive to uphold unity in the face of his defiance. How Europe responds could have far-reaching implications for the union’s future.

Over the years, it has become routine for Viktor Orban to openly challenge the European Union during the EU meetings and gathering as a way of asserting his stance and frequently challenging Brussels on topics ranging from migration to reforms. This month in his fiery speech at the European Parliament, while outlining Hungary’s goals for its forthcoming EU presidency, Orban was flaked by the MEPs with visible disapproval. His strong statements calling for EU reform, with Hungary at the helm,  are indicating the widening gap between him and other European leaders. The upcoming summit will see Orban’s stance towards Ukraine as a point of disagreement. The EU is scheduled to discuss a critical €50 billion aid plan for Ukraine to help the country combat aggression. However, Orbans objections to the plan could disrupt these talks. His hesitation to back Ukraine’s ambitions and even the symbolic act of initiating talks for the formal EU accession has already caused disagreements and stirred tensions among the bloc members. 

At the EU summit,  Orban will not just focus on Ukraine, but also on his wider agenda to reshape the European Union itself by advocating for a more streamlined administration and balancing environmental initiatives – reconciling green policies with the demands of industrial growth.  While certain leaders may see value in his efforts to enhance the markets dynamism, others may be hesitant as they fear his ideas could undermine the core principles that unite the EU. Migration is the key topic anticipated to provoke conflict at the summit. Orban has repeatedly voiced his disapproval of the EU’s management of migration issues by advocating for border restrictions and a tougher stance on asylum seekers. His position is viewed by many of his colleagues as a defiance of the EU’s humanitarian promises. He has frequently caused disagreements with his peers on this matter. At this summit, Orban is expected to double down on his calls for a tougher approach to migration, likely sparking fierce debates.

So, this week’s  EU Council meeting is poised to cement the creeping “Orbánisation” of Europe’s migration policy. The rising tide of far-right, anti-immigration sentiment across the continent has spurred mainstream political forces into adopting strategies long championed by  Orbán and Italy’s Giorgia Meloni. Fear has pushed these leaders to mimic populist tactics rather than confront them. Ahead of the summit, 15 EU member states, including heavyweights like Germany and France, drafted a diplomatic proposal that signals a dramatic shift in Europe’s asylum and migration stance. This “paradigm shift” suggests a harder line, one that notably calls for a reduced role for the European Court of Justice in adjudicating deportation appeals – a chilling indication of where the bloc’s policies may be heading. This turn is not just a reaction to public pressure; it reflects a deepening anxiety within the EU about its ability to manage migration effectively. As European leaders gather, the question looms: Will Europe sacrifice its commitment to human rights in exchange for political expediency?

Viktor Orbán’s proposal for migrant camps outside the EU’s borders is gaining alarming traction among member states. These so-called “return hubs” or “hotspots” are thinly veiled euphemisms for mass detention centers in third countries, designed to keep those fleeing war, persecution, and climate disasters far from European shores. The appeal lies in the promise of control – outsourcing the problem while turning a blind eye to the human cost. Yet, this approach signals a troubling shift, where Europe’s response to global crises edges closer to exclusion rather than compassion, raising questions about its moral compass in the face of adversity. This week’s European Council meeting is shaping up to be a litmus test for the shifting balance of power within the EU. As Viktor Orbán, with his nationalist agenda, takes center stage, the irony is hard to ignore. His leadership at this critical juncture underscores Europe’s growing internal divisions and the uneasy equation between democratic ideals and the rising tide of populism, raising the stakes for the future direction of the bloc.

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Dr. Imran Khalid is a geostrategic analyst and freelance columnist on international affairs and He has been regularly contributing articles on international affairs to some of the prestigious publications including the South China Morning Post, the Korea Times, the Jakarta Post, the New Straits Times (Malaysia), the Daily Sabah (Turkiye), the New Age (Bangladesh), the Oman Observer, the Guardian (Nigeria), the Ceylon Today (Sri Lanka), the Geopolitical Monitor, the Manila Times, the AJU Business Daily and Mail & Guardian (South Africa) etc. He is based in Karachi, Pakistan.
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