Is President Biden’s clock ticking?

Imran Khalid

Washington (Brussels Morning) – President Joseph Biden’s re-election campaign is under significant pressure as he consistently trails Donald Trump in national and battleground polls. Since Trump took the lead in September 2023, Biden’s approval ratings have plummeted, particularly concerning economic and immigration policies. Despite substantial efforts to highlight his achievements through visits to swing states and a $14 million advertising blitz, Biden’s strategies have not resonated with voters. His administration’s economic policies have lost public confidence, and his handling of the southern border crisis remains a significant liability. While Biden’s campaign contrasts sharply with Trump’s legal and financial challenges, his failure to address voters’ concerns effectively could make his bid for a second term highly uncertain.

As the 2024 presidential election looms, President Joseph Biden faces the daunting prospect of joining the ranks of one-term presidents. Trailing consistently behind Donald Trump in national and battleground polls, Biden’s presidency is marred by declining approval ratings, particularly concerning economic and immigration policies. Despite efforts to promote infrastructure projects and launch an extensive advertising campaign, Biden’s steadfast adherence to ineffective strategies and recent policy missteps have exacerbated public disapproval, leaving his re-election bid in a precarious position.

What factors contribute to the possibility of President Biden joining the “one-termers’ club”?

The one-termers’ club – a mixed crew that includes Jimmy Carter, George H.W. Bush, and Donald Trump is a fraternity no one aspires to join. Yet it may soon welcome a new member: Joseph Robinette Biden who trails Donald Trump in national and battleground polls. While the gap is narrow, Trump’s lead is showing striking consistency. Trump seized the lead in September 2023 and hasn’t relinquished it. His presidency still resonates with voters, especially on issues like the economy and border security. While Biden faces a ticking clock. With less than six months remaining, he must salvage a deteriorating political landscape. Yet his refusal to adapt baffles observers.

Instead of course correction, he is clinging to ineffective strategies that brought him to the brink of defeat. Whether it’s the economy or the border crisis, Biden’s political acumen seems lacking. His recent missteps, including a blatantly flawed Israel policy, reveal a stunning disconnect from reality. Nowhere is this failure more evident than in economic policy. In 2021, Gallup reported that 57 percent of Americans had confidence in Biden’s economic decision-making. Today, that figure languishes at 38 percent—the worst rating this century. Yet Biden doggedly insists the economy is thriving and urges Americans to let him “finish the job.”

What strategies is President Biden employing to counter Trump’s lead and improve his reelection prospects?

Consider his recent visit to Racine, Wisconsin, where he touted an artificial-intelligence data center planned by Microsoft. It’s part of a series of trips to swing states, showcasing infrastructure projects fueled by Biden’s massive federal spending. But the ghost of Trump’s unfulfilled chip factory looms large. Biden hopes to rattle Trump with daily taunts—a risky gambit for a president on the ropes. In this high-stakes political theater, Biden’s script remains unchanged. But unless he rewrites it soon, he risks joining the ranks of one-term presidents—a fate no incumbent desires. The illusion of competence can’t save him; only decisive action can alter his trajectory.

The clock ticks, and the audience waits, wondering if Biden will find his footing or fade into history as another casualty of the Oval Office’s unforgiving spotlight. Is it a strategy, or merely a gambit? Simultaneously, his campaign announced a $14 million advertising blitz, aiming to expand its payroll to over 500 employees across the nation—Dark Brandon’s cadre of community organizers. This flurry of pro-Biden activity stood in stark contrast to Trump’s courtroom entanglements, lackluster fundraising and sparse television spending since clinching the GOP nomination.

Why does President Biden struggle to gain voter confidence in his economic policies despite extensive campaign spending?

Yet, positive headlines from Biden’s Wisconsin jaunt can’t mask the reality. What value do a few commendations hold for an incumbent president with a tepid average job-approval rating of 39 percent? A president who, for years, has wielded oversized scissors at bridge and factory openings, yielding little substantive impact? Biden’s economic messaging in May 2024 echoes past refrains: “We must further reduce costs for hardworking families,” he posted on X days before his Racine visit. But while the American people inch forward economically, Biden himself remains stagnant.

Voters still favor Trump’s economic legacy over Biden’s, withholding credit where it’s due. Will another $14 million in advertising alter this trajectory? Biden’s 2023 swing-state ad spending exceeded $50 million, with an additional $30 million poured into March and April. Yet the return on investment remains elusive. Perhaps it secured him a few extra scoops of mint-chocolate-chip ice cream, but nationally, the race remains a coin toss. In key states, Biden’s numbers have deteriorated. His Achilles’ heel? Convincing voters that he genuinely hears their economic concerns and possesses actionable plans. He’s not the first president to grapple with this challenge, but his unique failure lies in convincing voters that he takes anything seriously—except, perhaps, abortion rights. Hence, his abysmal poll numbers.

Why does Biden hesitate to issue an executive order on the southern border crisis despite pressure and potential benefits?

Immigration, alongside inflation and the economy, dominates voter priorities. Biden recognizes the southern border crisis as a glaring liability. Since the collapse of his border-military aid gambit involving Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan, he’s toyed with issuing an executive order to curb illegal immigration. On May 7, 15 House Democrats implored him to “restore order at the border and fix our broken immigration system.” Such an order could allay fears of unchecked migration eroding wages, fostering crime, and heightening terrorism risks. It would benefit vulnerable congressional Democrats, bolster Biden’s reelection prospects, and serve the nation.

Yet, inexplicably, he hesitates, relying instead on Mexico’s enigmatic president, Andrés Manuel López-Obrador, to stem border crossings. His inertia defies reason. Is Biden incapable of discerning his own interests and pursuing them effectively? Or is there a deeper calculus at play? Remarkably, despite unease over Trump’s potential return, Biden may secure a second term—an ontological victory. The existential truth that Biden is not Trump could sway voters. But competence remains elusive, and the world watches, wondering if the country’s fate hinges on strategy or happenstance.

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Imran Khalid is a reelance columnist on international affairs and I have been regularly contributing articles on international l affairs to some of the prestigious publications including the South China Morning Post, the Korea Times, the Jakarta Post, the New Straits Times (Malaysia), the Daily Sabah (Turkiye),the New Age (Bangladesh),the Oman Observer, the Guardian (Nigeria), the Ceylon Today (Sri Lanka) , the Geopolitical Monitor, the Manila Times, the AJU Business Daily and Mail & Guardian (South Africa) etc. He is based in Karachi, Pakistan.
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