Anchorage Echoes: Containment’s Collapse and the New Cold Peace

Dr. Imran Khalid
Credit: REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque

In the crisp air of Anchorage, Alaska, two leaders whose fates have long been intertwined met once again: Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin. This summit on August 15, 2025, billed as a bold attempt to broker peace in Ukraine, unfolded against a backdrop of escalating global tensions. Yet, as the press conferences revealed, it was less a breakthrough than a carefully staged performance – one where Putin emerged as the shrewder player, extracting symbolic victories without yielding an inch on substance. Drawing from their post-meeting statements, it is clear that while Trump sought a quick win, Putin played a longer game, reinforcing Russia’s position in a multipolar world order.

Trump’s remarks were characteristically optimistic, laced with the bravado that defines his diplomacy. “We made great progress,” he declared, emphasizing that “many, many points” aligned between the two nations. He painted a grim picture of the Ukraine conflict – “five, six, seven thousand people a week” dying – and insisted Putin shared his desire to end the bloodshed. Yet, in a rare moment of candor, Trump admitted, “We didn’t get there,” referring to a ceasefire that had been the summit’s ostensible goal. His brevity was telling; absent were specifics on agreements or timelines, replaced by vague assurances of future talks. When Putin quipped in English, “Next time in Moscow,” Trump chuckled, “I could see it possibly happening,” signaling openness to deeper engagement.

Putin, by contrast, was measured and expansive, framing the meeting as a historic reset. “The past period was very difficult for bilateral relations… they have slid to the lowest point since the Cold War,” he noted, praising Trump’s “desire to delve into the essence” of the Ukraine crisis. He reiterated Russia’s narrative: the conflict stems from “fundamental threats to our national security,” requiring the elimination of “root causes” like NATO expansion, Ukraine’s military capabilities, and Western influence in Eastern Europe. Putin agreed with Trump on ensuring Ukraine’s security but conditioned peace on addressing Russia’s “legitimate concerns” for a “fair balance” in global security. He lauded the “constructive atmosphere of mutual respect” and hinted at an unspecified “agreement” on Ukraine, while extending economic olive branches in energy, tech, and Arctic cooperation. The tone was one of guarded optimism, with Putin establishing “very good business-like and trusting contact” with Trump, predicting a swift end to the war if dialogue continues.

In the short term, the implications are stark and sobering. No ceasefire materialized, allowing Russia’s grinding advance in Ukraine to persist unabated. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, sidelined from the talks, now heads to Washington amid reports of frustration in Kyiv and European capitals. Trump’s failure to secure even a pause in hostilities underscores the limits of his deal-making prowess against a entrenched adversary. For Putin, the summit was a propaganda coup: welcomed with a red carpet on American soil – the first such high-level engagement in years – he shed his pariah status without concessions. Facing unfiltered questions from Western journalists – “Will you stop killing civilians?” – he shrugged them off, a smirk betraying his confidence in the controlled narrative back home. Domestically, this bolsters Putin’s image as a statesman reclaiming Russia’s great-power status, potentially stabilizing his regime amid economic strains from sanctions.

The long-term ramifications, however, cut deeper, echoing the tectonic shifts in international relations that have defined the post-Cold War era. By engaging Putin directly, Trump risks fracturing the transatlantic alliance that has contained Russian aggression since 2014. European leaders, already wary of Trump’s “America First” approach, fear a bilateral U.S.-Russia deal that sidelines NATO and Ukraine’s sovereignty. Putin’s insistence on “root causes” isn’t mere rhetoric; it demands a rewrite of Europe’s security architecture, potentially capping Ukraine’s defenses and blocking its path to NATO or the EU – demands Kyiv views as capitulation. If pursued, this could embolden autocrats worldwide, from Beijing to Tehran, signaling that military adventurism pays dividends when met with negotiation rather than isolation.

Herein lies Putin’s genius: he is playing the game masterfully, leveraging Trump’s transactional style to his advantage. Unlike previous U.S. administrations that prioritized multilateral pressure, Trump offered a personal lifeline, allowing Putin to normalize relations without retreating from Crimea or Donbas. By praising Trump effusively and dangling economic incentives, Putin flatters his counterpart’s ego while advancing Russia’s agenda – restoring influence in its “near abroad” and fracturing Western unity. This mirrors historical precedents: think of Nixon’s détente with Brezhnev, which thawed U.S.-Soviet ties but failed to curb Moscow’s expansionism. Putin, a student of realpolitik, understands that summits like Alaska buy time, erode sanctions’ bite, and sow doubt among allies. His invitation to Moscow? A clever trap, tempting Trump into a venue where Putin controls the optics and narrative.

Critics will argue this summit restarts “normal dialogue,” as Putin claimed, preventing escalation into broader conflict. But dialogue without leverage is appeasement. The absence of “severe consequences” for non-compliance, as Trump once threatened, hands Putin the initiative. In a world where democracies grapple with internal divisions, autocrats like Putin thrive by exploiting them. The Alaska meeting, far from a triumph, highlights the perils of personalized diplomacy in an age of systemic rivalry.

As we reflect on this encounter, one can’t help but recall the words of George Kennan, the architect of containment: power abhors a vacuum. If the U.S. vacillates, Russia – and others – will fill it. Trump may see progress; Putin sees opportunity. The true test lies ahead: will this lead to peace, or merely prolong the agony in Ukraine while reshaping the global order in Moscow’s favor? History suggests the latter, unless the West reasserts its collective resolve.

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Brussels Morning is a daily online newspaper based in Belgium. BM publishes unique and independent coverage on international and European affairs. With a Europe-wide perspective, BM covers policies and politics of the EU, significant Member State developments, and looks at the international agenda with a European perspective.
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Imran Khalid is a geostrategic analyst and columnist on international affairs. His work has been widely published by prestigious international news organizations and publications.
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