Is Romania’s Far-Right on the Verge of a Political Surge?

Dr. Imran Khalid

Pakistan (Brussels Morning Newspaper), Is Romania succumbing to the surging tide of the far-right? It’s a query with no simple answer. Yet, indications suggest that the far-right is poised to garner sufficient traction to confront the sway of conventional forces, largely owing to the calculated maneuvers of mainstream political entities. Romania’s political landscape simmers with discontent as criticism mounts against Prime Minister Marcel Ciolacu’s socialist government.

Accusations of constitutional violations have added fuel to the fire, sparking outrage among citizens. Recent government actions, including tinkering with election schedules, have further stoked tensions, amplifying concerns over democratic norms and governance integrity. 

The proposed simultaneous merger of local and European elections in Romania has ignited fierce debate, with critics decrying potential chaos and disregard for electoral norms.

Originally scheduled for September, local elections have been moved to June, creating a parallel system that opponents fear will lead to administrative complications. The prospect of ruling officials serving as elected representatives for months heightens concerns about governance integrity and democratic processes. Opposition voices, notably from the right-wing Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR), has seriously condemned the government’s election maneuvers as an assault on democracy.

They warn against Romania sliding into dictatorship under the socialist government’s rule and liken the actions to those of the communist era. The opposition argues that the government’s actions undermine public confidence and threaten the nation’s democratic foundation. They assert that these tactics violate freedom and fairness in the electoral process, emphasizing the importance of upholding democratic principles.

The AUR party, most likely to emerge as a significant force as per recent opinion polls, is rallying against what it perceives as a betrayal of public trust and a regression into authoritarianism. In their view, safeguarding Romania’s democratic values is paramount to preserving the nation’s integrity and ensuring the voice of the people is heard.

The surprising electoral alliance between Romania’s Social Democrats (PSD) and Liberals (PNL), announced in February, indicated a major departure from tradition. For the first time in EU history, parties aligned with the Socialists & Democrats (S&D) and the European People’s Party (EPP) – the two dominant groups in the European Parliament – will join forces.

This unprecedented move sees Romania’s largest political factions, traditionally at odds, uniting for the upcoming European Parliament and local elections. The alliance, ostensibly aimed at countering the ascent of the far-right Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR), reflects a strategic shift in Romania’s political landscape. 

The PSD and PNL are seeking to consolidate their power and prevent the far-right AUR from gaining further ground. This “odd coalition” underscores the seismic shifts reshaping Romania’s political dynamics ahead of the upcoming elections. Prime Minister Marcel Ciolacu, stressing national unity over party lines, emphasizes the imperative of safeguarding Romania against rightist extremism through the newly forged electoral alliance. However, critics cast doubt on this narrative, alleging the alliance’s true motive is self-preservation and maintaining electoral dominance.

They argue that rather than suppressing the far-right Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR), the alliance may inadvertently elevate its status. The “ideologically strange” coalition between the establishment Social Democrats and Liberals has, in fact, propelled the AUR into the mainstream over recent years.

Consequently, the joint electoral lists could exacerbate this trend, further bolstering the AUR’s influence. Amidst these political maneuvers, the true impact on Romania’s stability and democratic health remains uncertain, underscoring the complexities of navigating extremism within the country’s political landscape.

The recent joint lists at the European level mark a continuation of a trend that began in 2021, when the National Liberal Party (PNL) and Social Democratic Party (PSD) formed Romania’s ruling coalition.

This unexpected alliance, following years of political rivalry and PNL’s anti-corruption stance, left many voters disillusioned. Perceived as a betrayal of core political values, the coalition with PSD heightened voter disillusionment and alienation from mainstream politics. As Romanian voters grapple with shifting political dynamics, the implications of these alliances for democratic accountability and trust in political institutions remain a pressing concern. 

The recent collaboration between Romania’s two largest parties, the Social Democratic Party (PSD) and the National Liberal Party (PNL), raises concerns about the health of Romanian democracy. Critics argue that the abandonment of ideological differences between these traditionally opposing factions undermines democratic principles.

The lack of genuine competition will erode voter choice, potentially bolstering the far-right Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) by highlighting the collusion of mainstream parties. While the PSD-PNL alliance may temporarily thwart AUR’s ascent, the long-term consequences for Romanian politics remain uncertain. How these parties navigate their collaboration post-election, and how they rebuild public trust, will shape the future of Romanian democracy. As Romania grapples with these challenges, the vitality of its democratic institutions hangs in the balance.

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Imran Khalid is a geostrategic analyst and columnist on international affairs. His work has been widely published by prestigious international news organizations and publications.
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