Could Timur Turlov’s FIDE Bid Become Kazakhstan’s Latest Soft-Power Play?

Lailuma Sadid

Timur Turlov’s candidacy for the presidency of the International Chess Federation (FIDE) has drawn growing attention because of its potential geopolitical implications for Kazakhstan, the rapid rise of Freedom Holding Corp., and the billionaire’s close relationship with Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev. FIDE is scheduled to hold its presidential election in September, with Turlov, chairman of the Kazakhstan Chess Federation and founder of Freedom Holding Corp., among the candidates. Some analysts believe his election would align with President Tokayev’s broader strategic interests. Leadership of FIDE extends beyond managing the sport of chess, as the organization has historically served as a platform for soft power and international influence. The famous 1972 World Chess Championship between Bobby Fischer and Boris Spassky symbolized Cold War rivalry between the United States and the Soviet Union, demonstrating how chess can become intertwined with global politics. A Kazakhstan-backed FIDE presidency could support the country’s ambitions to strengthen its regional influence, enhance its standing among Turkic nations, and reinforce its role as a diplomatic bridge between East and West.

Turlov has become one of Kazakhstan’s wealthiest businessmen and is widely regarded as an influential figure within the country’s political and economic establishment. His Freedom Holding business empire has expanded rapidly despite economic uncertainty, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and increasing international sanctions. Originally from Russia, Turlov moved with his family to Almaty in 2011 while continuing to operate major business interests in Russia through Freedom Finance, part of the U.S.-registered Freedom Holding Corp. Before Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Freedom Finance ranked among Russia’s leading brokerage firms. Following the invasion, Turlov obtained Kazakh citizenship, announced that he had renounced his Russian passport, and said he had sold his Russian assets while shifting Freedom Holding’s primary focus to Kazakhstan. During the same period, his personal wealth grew substantially. Forbes estimated his fortune at $2.4 billion in early 2022, increasing to approximately $6.5 billion by August 2026, while Freedom Holding’s market capitalization reportedly climbed from roughly $3.8 billion to more than $9.6 billion.

Freedom Bank, launched in Kazakhstan in 2020, has experienced exceptionally rapid growth. By September 2022, it reportedly controlled more than half of Kazakhstan’s mortgage market, with that share allegedly reaching 62 percent by 2024. Freedom Holding also says the bank became one of the country’s leading issuers of Mastercard and Visa payment cards. Beyond banking and brokerage services, the company has expanded into telecommunications, insurance, media, consumer electronics, and several additional industries. It has also used Kazakhstan as a base for international expansion, extending operations into Europe, the United States, the United Kingdom, Turkey, and the United Arab Emirates. This rapid growth has prompted speculation among some observers that Turlov’s business success has benefited from strong political support. Although these claims remain disputed, critics often point to his frequent public meetings with President Tokayev as evidence of an unusually close relationship.

In 2023, President Tokayev personally appointed Turlov to lead the Kazakhstan Chess Federation despite his lack of professional chess experience or previous senior administrative roles within the sport. The appointment attracted considerable attention, with some observers interpreting it as a political move that integrated a wealthy businessman more deeply into Kazakhstan’s institutional leadership. Shortly after assuming the role, Turlov met Tokayev at the presidential residence to discuss the future development of chess in Kazakhstan. Their public interactions continued over the following years. Turlov participated in meetings between the president and leading business figures, presented telecommunications projects directly to Tokayev, and accompanied the president on an official delegation to Pakistan in 2026. These appearances reinforced perceptions that Turlov had become more than a business executive and was increasingly involved in Kazakhstan’s broader economic and diplomatic agenda. In March 2026, he received the Order of Parasat, one of Kazakhstan’s highest state honors. The award generated criticism because it followed public discussion surrounding alleged transfers of approximately $14 billion from Russia through Kazakhstan to third countries. President Tokayev acknowledged that the transfers passed through a Kazakh bank without identifying the institution. Some commentators speculated that Freedom Bank may have been involved because of its business relationships with Russian clients, although the bank denied any involvement.

Many of the controversies surrounding Turlov and Freedom Holding involve allegations of sanctions evasion. In 2023, U.S. short-selling firm Hindenburg Research published a report accusing Freedom Holding of questionable revenue practices, sanctions-related activities, and risky management of client funds. The report alleged that the company helped wealthy Russian clients transfer assets away from sanctioned banks while continuing operations in Russia through nominally independent structures. Specific allegations involved transfers linked to Alfa-Bank, VTB, and Tinkoff Bank after sanctions were imposed. Freedom Holding rejected the main allegations and commissioned an external review, although critics argued the review did not fully resolve concerns because it acknowledged transactions involving sanctioned individuals. Turlov has consistently maintained that all dealings complied with applicable sanctions laws. Nevertheless, analysts note that Freedom Holding’s continued exposure to Russian clients and cross-border financial activity could create future regulatory risks if additional sanctions are introduced by the United States or the European Union.

Questions have also been raised regarding the sale of Turlov’s Russian assets. Several journalistic investigations allege that he continued to influence certain businesses after they were officially sold to former senior manager Maxim Povalishin. Other assets reportedly changed hands through individuals including Pavel Livinsky, the former head of Russia’s state electricity-grid company Rosseti, who has faced corruption allegations and accusations involving illegal cryptocurrency mining. Turlov has also faced legal scrutiny over allegations that approximately 3.8 billion rubles were transferred from Association Bank to offshore companies in Cyprus allegedly linked to him. According to reports, the transactions were identified in 2019 while he was still operating in Russia, although legal proceedings only began after he relocated to Kazakhstan.

Turlov has publicly described Kazakhstan as becoming a “Switzerland for Russians,” referring to the country’s attractiveness for Russian businesses and investors. Critics, however, argue that Kazakhstan has increasingly become an intermediary through which wealthy Russians can move funds, access Western financial products, and reduce the impact of sanctions. Freedom Holding has been accused by opponents of facilitating transfers of Russian capital, allegations that the company strongly denies. Reports suggest the firm’s services allow Russian clients remote access to Kazakh banking products and investment opportunities outside Russia. Turlov also remains subject to Ukrainian sanctions imposed in 2022. Although he has challenged those sanctions through legal proceedings, they remain in place. Several reports have claimed that unofficial intermediaries associated with President Tokayev sought to persuade Ukrainian authorities to remove Turlov from the sanctions list. One individual identified in those reports is businessman Aidyn Rakhimbayev, described as both a Tokayev associate and Turlov business partner. Turlov has repeatedly condemned Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and said his companies have provided significant charitable assistance to Ukraine.

Freedom Holding’s operations in the United States have also received attention. Reports claim the company’s U.S. presence consists of a small co-working office with minimal staffing despite involvement in large financial transactions. Critics allege Freedom Finance provided clients access to initial public offerings without holding the necessary securities registrations, routing transactions through other brokerage firms while client funds were transferred to FFIN Brokerage Services Inc., a Belize-registered offshore entity. Whether those arrangements violated U.S. securities laws remains a matter for American regulators and courts.

In 2025, Freedom Finance became linked to a major investor fraud investigation in Kazakhstan involving allegations that client funds were transferred directly to senior employees instead of brokerage accounts. More than 30 investors were reportedly recognized as victims, with combined losses amounting to tens of millions of dollars. One investor reportedly died by suicide. Criminal proceedings were initiated against executive director Vitaly Svetovoy and senior manager Temirlan Bekov. Kazakhstan’s Interior Ministry also began investigating entities associated with Turlov as part of a broader inquiry into the alleged unlawful issuance of taxpayer identification numbers to Russian citizens. Turlov himself has not been convicted in connection with these allegations.

The central question remains whether Turlov’s continued success stems primarily from political backing or from the financial strength and international reach of his business empire. His appointment to lead the Kazakhstan Chess Federation, repeated meetings with President Tokayev, participation in official government delegations, and receipt of one of the country’s highest state honors demonstrate his significant access to Kazakhstan’s leadership. Some observers believe Tokayev views Turlov as an effective instrument for advancing Kazakhstan’s international influence, combining substantial financial resources with global business connections. Winning the FIDE presidency could strengthen those ambitions while simultaneously expanding Turlov’s own international profile and political influence. According to this view, Tokayev may ultimately face a strategic dilemma, as supporting Turlov could enhance Kazakhstan’s global standing while also increasing the influence of one of the country’s most powerful businessmen.

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Lailuma Sadid is a former diplomat in the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan Embassy to the kingdom of Belgium, in charge of NATO. She attended the NATO Training courses and speakers for the events at NATO H-Q in Brussels, and also in Nederland, Germany, Estonia, and Azerbaijan. Sadid has is a former Political Reporter for Pajhwok News Agency, covering the London, Conference in 2006 and Lisbon summit in 2010.
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