The upcoming European elections could disrupt the EU’s politics

Giles Merritt

Brussels (Brussels Morning) – The upcoming European elections could disrupt the EU’s political landscape, shifting power to the hard right, reversing key policies, and exacerbating tensions. This turmoil may challenge the EU’s cohesion but could also enhance democratic engagement.

The upcoming European elections are expected to trigger significant disruptions within the EU, leading to a political realignment and increased tensions between member states. A predicted shift towards the hard right could reverse long-standing policies and challenge the EU’s unity and stability.

What Are the Potential Consequences of the Upcoming European Elections?

The upcoming European elections are expected to trigger a major “Blame Game” within the EU, leading to realignment of political alliances and searches for scapegoats. This could change the face of the EU both domestically and internationally, with significant practical implications for EU-level policymaking that have received little attention so far.

How Might the Shift to the Hard Right Impact EU Policies?

A shift to the hard right in the European Parliament could reverse longstanding policies central to the European project. This includes environmental policies, which might be derailed, and more restrictive immigration and asylum policies. This shift threatens the EU’s path towards “ever-closer union” and could exacerbate tensions between pro-EU and nationalist member states.

What Are the Underlying Issues Contributing to This Potential Shift?

The EU’s failure to effectively communicate its role and benefits has contributed to public dissatisfaction. National politicians often take credit for positive developments while blaming the EU for setbacks, creating a negative perception of the EU among the public. The European Commission’s inability to adapt to the Information Age has also played a role in this shift.

What Could Be the Silver Lining of This Political Turmoil?

Despite the challenges, the resulting political turmoil could introduce a new dynamic to EU policymaking. Political coalitions forced to achieve consensus through conflicting views could enhance the sense of democracy within the EU. This might make the EU appear less like a remote, unelected bureaucracy and more like a vibrant democratic institution to voters.

Recommendations

  1. Enhanced Communication Strategy: The EU must improve its communication strategy to better explain its decisions and benefits to the public, addressing the Information Age’s demands.
  2. Proactive Policymaking: The EU should anticipate the potential political shift and prepare strategies to manage the new balance of power within the European Parliament.
  3. Support for Environmental and Social Policies: Continued support and clear communication of the benefits of existing environmental and social policies could counteract the potential reversal by the hard-right.
  4. Strengthening EU Solidarity: In the face of external geopolitical pressures, reinforcing EU solidarity will be crucial, despite the internal political challenges.

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Giles Merritt is the Founder and Secretary General of Friends of Europe, the Brussels-based think-tank that focuses on high-level EU policy proposals.