The Role of Power and Perception in Neoclassical Realism and Foreign Policy

Giuseppe de vita
Credit: online.york.ac.uk

Neoclassical realism in foreign policy theory integrates structural realism’s emphasis on the international system with an analysis of domestic factors, arguing that a country’s foreign policy is shaped by its relative material power filtered through internal variables like leadership perceptions and state structures. This approach contends that understanding foreign policy requires examining both the international pressures and the domestic contexts within states, making it a nuanced evolution of classical realism that addresses the complexity of state behavior in the international arena.

Neoclassical Realism and Foreign Policy

Neoclassical realism emerged as a significant development in international relations and foreign policy studies to bridge the gap between systemic theories that focus on the international system and unit-level analyses that study individual state behavior. Unlike neorealism, which posits that the international structure directly dictates state actions, neoclassical realism asserts that material power’s influence on policy is indirect and mediated by domestic factors including the perceptions of political leaders and the state’s organizational dynamics. This internal-external nexus offers a richer explanation of why states with similar power capabilities might pursue very different foreign policies.

This theory is particularly valuable for explaining variation in state behavior that purely structural explanations fail to capture. By considering intervening variables such as decision-makers’ interpretation of threats, domestic political institutions, and societal pressures, neoclassical realism provides a comprehensive framework for understanding both the motivations and actions behind foreign policy decisions.

Core Concepts of Neoclassical Realism

The principal premise of neoclassical realism is that a state’s foreign policy ambitions and strategies fundamentally stem from its relative material power in the international system. However, the connection between power and policy is complex:

  • Relative power is the primary driver but not the sole determinant of foreign policy.
  • Systemic pressures (e.g., threats from other states, power distribution changes) influence state behavior through complex filtering mechanisms at the national level.
  • Domestic intervening variables include the perceptions of political leaders, elite consensus, bureaucratic politics, and social or institutional constraints.
  • These domestic factors can either amplify or attenuate the influence of systemic pressures, explaining deviations from predicted structural realist outcomes.

Thus, a state’s foreign policy can only be fully understood by analyzing how international power dynamics interact with internal political and social environments.

Neoclassical Realism Compared to Other Theories

Neoclassical realism distinguishes itself from classical realism, neorealism, and liberal theories by its dual focus on systemic and domestic levels. Unlike classical realism, which often emphasized human nature and moral considerations, neoclassical realism uses systematic, theory-driven approaches with clear variables. Compared to neorealism, which largely discounts internal politics, neoclassical realism considers domestic factors as key mediators. Unlike liberalism, which emphasizes international institutions and cooperation, neoclassical realism prioritizes power and security concerns mediated domestically.

TheoryFocusRole of Domestic PoliticsView on Power
Classical RealismHuman nature, power competitionImplicit, broadCentral
NeorealismStructure of international systemMinimal, systemic forces dominantCentral
LiberalismInstitutions, cooperationSignificant, promotes peace and interdependenceImportant but cooperative
Neoclassical RealismSystemic and domestic linkagesCrucial as intervening variablesCentral, mediated by domestic factors

Application and Importance of Neoclassical Realism

Neoclassical realism has been applied to explain various foreign policy behaviors, including crisis management, alliance formation, strategic adjustments, and long-term grand strategy shifts. By acknowledging decision-makers’ perceptions and state capabilities, it better accounts for inconsistencies in how states respond to similar international stimuli. For example, states with comparable power profiles may differ drastically in their threat perceptions and policy responses due to domestic political climates or leader psychology.

This theory underscores that material power is necessary but insufficient alone to predict foreign policy. Policymaking processes, national identity, institutional arrangements, and elite consensus significantly mold how external pressures are translated into action. This multi-level analysis thus offers policy analysts and scholars a tool to assess more accurately both the “why” and “how” behind foreign policy decisions.

Neoclassical realism represents a sophisticated and pragmatic lens for analyzing foreign policy by integrating the international system’s structural imperatives with the nuanced realities of domestic political environments. By accounting for intervening variables such as leadership perceptions and state institutions, it provides a fuller understanding of the causes and variations in state behavior. This approach effectively updates classical realist insights with empirical rigor and explanatory power, making it a vital theory for interpreting international relations and foreign policy actions today.

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Giuseppe De Vita is a journalist at Brussels Morning News, He is covering European politics, Law and Technology news. Lawyer at De Vita & Partners Law Firm specializing in Criminal Law, Military and Space Law, and Cyber Security. In April 2023, he authored the monograph "Governance in Extraterrestrial Space", showcasing his extensive legal expertise. He has acquired vast experience in handling criminal and civil matters, managing litigation before various levels of jurisdiction across the national territory. In 2010, he obtained a Master's degree in Information Technology Law. Additionally, in the same year, he served as a teacher in criminal-IT subjects at the Penitentiary Police School of Portici, providing courses aimed at officials and managers of the Penitentiary Police and the Penitentiary Administration, focusing on IT security. He also serves as a Workplace Safety teacher, conducting training courses at various organizations and educational institutions. Moreover, he is a lecturer on Anti-Corruption and Transparency. The law firm, under his guidance, assists both private and corporate clients in court, accumulating significant experience in criminal and civil disputes over the years. Furthermore, it conducts Risk Management and Compliance, Cyber Resilience, and Cyber Security activities, with a specific focus on privacy protection (EU Regulation 2016/679 - GDPR). Giuseppe frequently publishes articles in legal journals, analyzing various regulatory issues. He has contributed articles to the legal journal Altalex, of which he is also a member of the Scientific Committee.
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